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对传统的反舰导弹飞行试验威胁概率计算方法进行了梳理,对其计算原理和基本思路进行了详细阐述和分析。针对传统的威胁概率计算方法带来的保护目标被遗漏、计算误差偏大、使用不方便、计算不完整等问题,提出了基于弹道坐标系的威胁概率改进计算方法,并给出了改进算法的理论依据和相关公式推导过程。最后,结合具体应用实例对改进前后的两种算法的计算结果进行了比对分析,结果表明改进后的威胁概率计算方法更加科学、有效。
The traditional method of calculating the threat probability of anti-ship missile flight test is summarized, and its calculation principle and basic idea are elaborated and analyzed in detail. In view of the omission of the protection goal, the large calculation error, the inconvenient use and the incomplete calculation, the traditional threaten probability calculation method is put forward. The improved probabilistic calculation method based on ballistic coordinate system is proposed, and the improved algorithm Theoretical basis and related formula derivation process. Finally, the comparison of the calculated results of the two algorithms before and after the improvement with the practical application examples shows that the improved method of calculating the threat probability is more scientific and effective.