预测和推测一直存在于人类社会和现实生活之中,随文化和科学的发展得到进一步的认识和应用。预测作为一门新兴的学科,在卫生事业管理及医院工作过程中如何运用现有的统计数据,应用预测技术,开展预测工作,要靠 Predictions and speculations have always existed in human society and in real life, and have been further recognized and applied with the development of culture and science. As a new discipline, forecasting uses existing statistical data, applies forecasting techniques, and carries out forecasting work in the management of health operations and hospital work.