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▲20年后,世界油脂消费量增加47％ 据(油世界)予测,20年后,世界主要17种油脂消费量(包括食用、非食用、损耗)将增长47％(参阅附表),约达1.32亿吨。该数据是按5年间平均值计算而成,已排除短期季节变动因素。并予测1993～1997年间平均油脂消费量为9050吨。 该刊予计今后棕榈油消费量将超过大豆油,至2012年时,棕榈油占23％,大豆油占19％,而1993～1997年间,大豆油占20％,棕榈油占17％。不过,至时予计大豆油仍将增长40％。棕榈油产量与消费将会受油粕和动物脂需求放慢而刺激增加。今后世界四大消费油脂依次为棕榈油、大豆油、菜籽油、向日葵油。并指出包括政治、人口增长、各国国民经济总值增长水平、价格、土地资源、气候状况及技术发展等因素可能会影响今后25年间世界油料,油脂市场动向。
▲In 20 years, the world’s oil consumption increased by 47%. According to (oil world) forecast, after 20 years, the world’s main 17 oils and fats consumption (including food, non-edible, and loss) will increase by 47% (see attached table). About 132 million tons. The data is calculated as an average of 5 years, and short-term seasonal changes have been excluded. It is predicted that the average oil and fat consumption during the period from 1993 to 1997 would be 9,050 tons. The publication predicts that palm oil consumption will exceed soybean oil in the future. By 2012, palm oil accounted for 23% and soybean oil accounted for 19%. Between 1993 and 1997, soybean oil accounted for 20% and palm oil accounted for 17%. However, soybean oil will still grow by 40%. The production and consumption of palm oil will be stimulated by the slowing demand for oilseed meal and animal fat. In the future, the world’s four largest consumer fats will be palm oil, soybean oil, rapeseed oil, and sunflower oil. It also pointed out that factors including politics, population growth, the growth of national economic value of all countries, prices, land resources, climate conditions, and technological development may affect the world oil and fat market trends over the next 25 years.