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根据对低碳经济内涵的理解,将单位GDP二氧化碳排放(碳强度)作为低碳经济的核心要素。通过文献回顾的方式提炼其主要驱动因素,并通过通径分析测算各驱动因素对其的总影响、直接影响和间接影响,明确了作用机理。其中,能源总量对碳强度增长起直接推动作用,但在总作用上通过总人口和经济增长的间接影响起抑制作用,总人口、经济增长、产业结构等是碳强度增长的主要抑制因素,能源消耗结构是碳强度增长的主要推动因素。
According to the understanding of the connotation of low-carbon economy, carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP (carbon intensity) as a core element of low-carbon economy. Through literature review, the main driving factors are refined and the driving forces are directly influenced and indirectly influenced by the path analysis, and the mechanism of action is clarified. Among them, the total amount of energy plays a direct role in promoting the growth of carbon intensity, but it plays an inhibitory role in the overall effect through the indirect influence of the total population and economic growth. The total population, economic growth and industrial structure are the major inhibitory factors for the growth of carbon intensity. Energy consumption structure is a major driver of carbon intensity growth.