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在全球经济的一体化的发展趋势下,国际经济周期协动性将通过国际贸易、FDI和产业结构的变化进行传递效应的发挥,继而影响我国经济的增长。所以,本文通过建立面板数据模型对FDI、产业结构与国际经济周期协动性进行了分析。而研究表明,中国与发达国家的贸易强度将对中国经济增长产生较大的影响,而与发展中国家的贸易强度、产业结构相似性和FDI强度对经济增长的影响较弱,但与GDP周期协动性呈正相关关系。
Under the trend of the integration of the global economy, the synergies of the international economic cycle will exert the transmission effect through the changes in international trade, FDI and industrial structure, which in turn will affect China’s economic growth. Therefore, this paper analyzes the relationship between FDI, industrial structure and international economic cycle through the establishment of panel data model. However, studies show that the trade intensity between China and developed countries will have a greater impact on China’s economic growth. However, the trade intensity with the developing countries, the similarities in industrial structure and the intensity of FDI have a weak impact on economic growth. However, Co-movement was positively correlated.