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古地震学启蒙于 19世纪晚期 ,现代古地震学则形成于 70年代末 .我国的古地震学经历了起步、发展和走向成熟 3个阶段 .古地震学在探槽技术、识别标志、测年方法和理论模型等方面都取得了长足的进展 ,但没有成熟到可以为概率地震预报提供高信度的数据 .未来需要继续探讨的主要问题包括 :古地震的地质证据、年代学、位移量的研究 ;完整性、区域古地震特征、大地震重复的理论模型 ;重视注意稳定大陆地区的古地震研究和利用新技术和边缘学科的成果开拓研究的增长点 .
Ancient seismology enlightenment In the late 19th century, modern seismology was formed in the late 70s .China’s ancient seismology has undergone three stages of starting, development and maturity. Paleoearthology in the trench technology, identification marks, dating Methods and theoretical models have made great progress, but they are not mature enough to provide high-confidence data for probabilistic earthquake prediction.Main issues that need to be further discussed in the future include: geological evidence of ancient earthquakes, chronology, displacement Research; integrity, regional paleoseismic characteristics, large earthquake repetition theory model; pay attention to the stability of the continental paleoearthquake research and use of new technologies and the achievements of the edge discipline to explore the growth point.