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随着经济社会的发展,水资源短缺问题突显,水资源冲突越来越严重。图模型方法是一种有效的冲突分析方法。利用图模型动态描述流域水资源冲突主体,分析冲突过程中流域内各主体的策略互动过程,构建流域水资源配置的图模型;在不同稳定性定义的基础上,寻求流域各主体博弈的均衡解;对流域水资源配置进行均衡分析。结果表明,流域水资源管理机构的协调能有效促成冲突主体间达成水权交易,推动流域水资源冲突向均衡状态演化。研究成果可为区域水资源开发与管理提供参考。
With the economic and social development, the issue of water shortage has been highlighted, and the water conflicts have become more and more serious. Graph model method is an effective conflict analysis method. This paper uses the graph model to describe the main body of the water resources conflicts in the basin, analyzes the strategy interaction process of each subject in the basin in the process of conflict and constructs the graph model of the water resources allocation in the basin. On the basis of different stability definitions, ; A balanced analysis of water resources allocation in the basin. The results show that the coordination of basin water resources management agencies can effectively promote the water rights transactions between the main conflict parties and promote the evolution of the water resources conflicts in the basin to a balanced state. The research results can provide a reference for the development and management of regional water resources.