关于冷战后的国际体系 ,国内政界、学界进行过诸多讨论并形成基本认识 :世界多极化是一种客观发展的趋势 ,尽管这一趋势的发展有一定的曲折性和复杂性 ,但却是不可逆转的。不过对于同一问题 ,美国学者汉斯·宾尼恩迪克在“BacktoBipolarity?”一文中却提出了完全不同的观点 ,他认为现今的国际体系有可能回到两极 ,建议美国采取“大棒政策”维护西方主导的国际体系。对于宾尼恩迪克的观点 ,我们不一定认同 ,不过其分析和论证对于看清美国对外政策的现实主义取向、认识美国对外战略的走向却不无裨益。编译此文的意旨 ,正在于此 With regard to the post-Cold-War international system, many discussions and the formation of a basic understanding have taken place in the domestic political circles and academic circles: the world’s multi-polarization is an objective trend of development. Although this trend has some twists and turns in complexity and complexity, it is irreversible. However, on the same issue, the U.S. scholar Hans Binnendek put forward a completely different view in the article “BacktoBipolarity?”. He believes that the current international system is likely to return to the poles and that the United States adopt the “big stick policy” to maintain Western-led international system. We do not necessarily agree with Bin Nindik’s point of view, but its analysis and argument are not without any help in understanding the realist orientation of U.S. foreign policy and recognizing the direction of U.S. foreign strategy. The purpose of compiling this article, is here