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对1996年世界经济前景各方面有各种不同的估计,但却普遍看好。据国际货币基金组织的预测,世界经济继1994年增长3.6%之后,1995年在低通胀下稳健增长,增长率将为3.7%,1996年世界经济将持续扩张,增长速度进一步上升到4.1%。而美国美林证券分析家及经济学家则预测,1996年全球增长在2—3%的水平。1995年西方经济有惊无险,总的来说发展比较平稳。上半年主要工业国连续出现衰退的警讯。由于美日德等联合干预汇率市场取得成效,美元止跌回升,加上各国普遍降低利率和实施紧急刺激措施,使下半年经济形势又呈现反弹趋势。据经合组织最新预测,包括全部工业发达国家的该组织成员国1995年的平均经济增长率为2.4%,低于1994年的2.9%,1996年将
Various estimates have been made on various aspects of the world economic outlook in 1996, but they are generally optimistic. According to the forecast of the International Monetary Fund, the world economy will grow steadily under low inflation at a rate of 3.7% growth in 1995 after a 3.6% growth in 1994. In 1996, the world economy will continue to expand and its growth rate will further rise to 4.1%. The United States, Merrill Lynch analysts and economists predict that in 1996 the global growth in the 2-3% level. In 1995, the western economy was scarce. On the whole, the development was relatively steady. In the first half of the year, the major industrial nations continued to witness a warning of a recession. As the United States, Japan and Germany and other joint intervention in the exchange rate market to make an impact, the dollar stabilized rebound, coupled with the general interest rate cuts and the implementation of emergency stimulus measures, so that the economic situation in the second half showed a rebound trend. According to the latest OECD projections, the average rate of economic growth of member countries of the SCO member states, including all industrialized countries, was 2.4% in 1995, down from 2.9% in 1994; in 1996,