进出口一直是影响中国经济增长的重要因素,尤其是2005年上半年,净出口对GDP增速贡献非常大.同时,大量的机构将进出口作为判断未来经济增速的关键因素.从计量分析的角度,看看进口与我国工业增加值的关系,看看出口与各个主要贸易伙伴国家经济增长速度以及汇率的关系. Import and export has always been an important factor affecting China’s economic growth, especially in the first half of 2005, with net exports making a huge contribution to GDP growth. Meanwhile, a large number of agencies regard import and export as key factors in judging future economic growth. Look at the relationship between imports and China’s industrial added value and the relationship between exports and the rate of economic growth and the exchange rate of the major trading partners.