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随着现代军事技术的发展,军事作战指挥中的不确定性决策问题成为军事决策支持系统中迫切需要解决的问题。以对策论为理论基础,以编队协同对地攻防对抗作战为背景,建立了动态对抗决策模型,针对模糊随机环境下的军事指挥决策问题,提出了模糊随机影响因子概念,反映战场不确定环境对各参战单元产生的影响程度,建立了模糊随机环境下的对抗决策模型。通过模糊随机模拟方法解算期望值决策模型及机会约束对抗决策模型,得到对抗策略平衡点。仿真结果表明,该算法能够合理处理战场模糊随机环境带来的影响,客观分析作战结果,为作战指挥决策提供有力的决策支持,方法实用、有效,具有很好的应用前景。
With the development of modern military technology, the issue of uncertainty in military command operations has become an urgent problem to be solved in the military decision support system. Based on the theory of game theory and the background of battlefield attack and defense cooperation, the dynamic confrontation decision-making model is established. In order to solve the problem of military command and decision-making under fuzzy random environment, the concept of fuzzy random influence factor is proposed to reflect the uncertain environment in the battlefield The impact of each participating war unit, the establishment of a fuzzy random environment, the adversarial decision-making model. Through the fuzzy stochastic simulation method to solve the expectation value decision model and the chance constrained countermeasure decision model, the countermeasure strategy equilibrium point is obtained. The simulation results show that this algorithm can reasonably deal with the impact of the fuzzy random environment in the battlefield, objectively analyze the operational results, and provide powerful decision support for combat command and decision. The method is practical, effective and has good application prospects.