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一、易货贸易还有没有生命力? 1992年中俄贸易额超过了中苏1990年的规模,达到了最高水平,为58.5亿美元。这主要是靠地方、边境易货贸易实现的。俄罗斯政府多次强调,要限制对我的易货贸易。这引起中方经贸及企业界的关注。但我认为,目前人为地限制或大幅度地减少中俄之间的易货贸易并不现实。在今后一个较长时期里,易货贸易仍有生命力。一个主要原因是:短期内俄罗斯摆脱不了严重的经济困境,也改变不了十分短缺、紧张的市场。目前俄罗斯的经济明显表现为一种全面衰退性的危机。1992年,反映经济状况的一些综合性经济指标大大恶化,国民生产总值、国民收入与工业产值分别比上年下降19％、20％和18.8％。这种全面衰退具有长期性的特点,即在短期内俄罗斯难以走出经济危机。这是由一系列因素决定的。 1.造成经济衰退的原因很复杂。高
First, does the barter trade still have vitality? In 1992, the Sino-Russian trade volume exceeded the scale of the Sino-Soviet Union in 1990 and reached the highest level, at US$5.85 billion. This is mainly achieved through local and border barter trade. The Russian government has repeatedly stressed that it is necessary to limit the barter trade to me. This has caused the concerns of the Chinese economy, trade and business community. However, I think it is not realistic to artificially restrict or substantially reduce the barter trade between China and Russia. For a long period to come, barter trade still has vitality. One of the main reasons is that in the short term Russia will not be able to shake off serious economic difficulties, nor will it be able to change the very scarce and tense market. At present, the Russian economy clearly shows a full recessionary crisis. In 1992, some comprehensive economic indicators that reflected the economic situation deteriorated significantly. The gross national product, national income, and industrial output dropped by 19%, 20%, and 18.8%, respectively, from the previous year. This comprehensive recession is characterized by a long-term nature, that is, it is difficult for Russia to step out of the economic crisis in the short term. This is determined by a series of factors. 1. The causes of economic recession are complicated. high