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目的: 制定2001～2005年北京市妇幼保健机构执业医师发展规划。方法: 以1996～2000年数据为基础,使用平均发展速度法进行预测。结果: 2005年北京妇幼医师配置总数的上、下限分为1 678和1 101人,各区县妇幼医师数依据不同情况有所差异。结论: 到2005年北京市妇幼执业医师数在原有基础应有所增加,需要适当加强人力资源的配置力度。
Purpose: To formulate plans for the development of practicing physicians in Beijing maternity and child care institutions from 2001 to 2005. Methods: Based on the data from 1996 to 2000, the average development speed method was used for prediction. Results: In 2005, the upper and lower limits of the total number of Beijing women and children’s physicians were divided into 1 678 and 1 101 persons. The number of women and children in different districts and counties varied according to different conditions. Conclusion: By 2005, the number of doctors practicing maternal and child care in Beijing should be increased in the original foundation, and the allocation of human resources should be appropriately strengthened.