论文部分内容阅读
近年来,全球经济呈现出经济增长短期停滞,通货紧缩压力增大,政策刺激的边际效应弱化,实体经济不振,经济复苏的不确定性加大等典型特征。我国经济同样面临着“四降一升”的问题。在经济复苏的道路上,我国经济与世界经济增长具有很强的逻辑一致性。从长期来看,解决危机最核心的手段是结构改革,寻求新的增长动力。而在短期内,经济增长的动力在于投资,稳投资是稳增长的重要抓手。预计2017年全社会固定资产投资名义增长9%左右,增速比2016年稍有回落。基于此,当前稳投资需要在投资结构、制度设计、投资增长模式上重点突破。
In recent years, the global economy has shown typical features such as the short-term stagnation of economic growth, the pressure of deflation, the weakening of the marginal effects of stimulus policies, the sluggish real economy and the uncertainty of economic recovery. The economy of our country is also facing the problem of “falling four times and one rising”. On the road to economic recovery, our economy has strong logical consistency with the world economic growth. In the long run, the most central solution to the crisis is structural reform and new impetus for growth. In the short term, the driving force of economic growth lies in investment. Steady investment is an important starting point for steady growth. It is estimated that the nominal investment of fixed assets in the whole society will increase by about 9% in 2017, a slight decrease from 2016. Based on this, the current steady investment needs breakthroughs in investment structure, system design and investment growth mode.