本文通过分析前期高潮位、台风参数与极值高潮位的关系，建立了一个包括台风中心气压、局地风速、前期高潮位的三元线性回归的极值高潮位预报公式，并考虑到同一参数对极值高潮位不同时刻的影响，引进权函数，在此基础上，实现了回归计算和极值高潮位预报的计算机自动化。在实时预报中、只需输入台风参数，即可得到极值高潮位值。 Based on the analysis of the relationship between the previous high tide level, the typhoon parameters and the extreme high tide level, this paper establishes a prediction model of extreme tidal height including the typhoon center pressure, local wind speed and prehistoric climax, and takes into account the same parameter On the basis of the influence of the extremum orgasm at different moments, the author introduced the weight function, and on this basis, realized the computerization of regression calculation and the prediction of extreme high tide level. In real-time forecast, just enter the typhoon parameters, you can get the extreme value of the climax.