事故管理中的四多四少在新形势下,广大安全工作者认真总结事故管理的经验教训,大胆探索新方法,取得了不少新成果。但是,应用事故管理理论防控事故还存在诸多不足。经验方法多,系统理论少从大学安全工程教材上可见,事故控制理论大多来自西方,如多米诺骨牌理论、风险分析理论、故障树分析理论等等;而我国的理论成果甚少,顶多是一些经验性做法。纵观石油、化工、 More than Four Four in Accident Management Under the new situation, the vast numbers of safety workers have conscientiously summed up the experiences and lessons learned from accident management, boldly explored new methods and made many new achievements. However, there are still many shortcomings in applying incident management theory to prevent and control accidents. Most of the empirical methods and system theory can be seen from the university safety engineering teaching materials. Most accident control theories come from the West, such as domino theory, risk analysis theory and fault tree analysis theory. However, the theoretical achievements in our country are few and most are some Empirical practice. Throughout the petroleum, chemical,