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文章运用离散系数法测度及评价西北五省区旅游产业发展潜力各因素贡献度基础上,利用发展潜力指数测度并评价了该区域旅游业发展潜力及变动趋势。研究结果表明:西北五省区旅游发展市场属于投资驱动型市场;旅游产业发展潜力指数在近十年内呈动态波动上升的趋势,发展潜力巨大;旅游产业发展潜力发展受到经济条件、偶然事件及政策等因素的制约。
Based on the use of discrete coefficient method to measure and evaluate the contribution of each factor in the development potential of tourism industry in five provinces of Northwest China, the article uses the index of development potential to measure and evaluate the development potential and the changing trend of tourism in this region. The results show that the tourism development markets of the five provinces and autonomous regions in northwest China belong to the investment-driven market. The tourism industry development potential index shows a dynamic fluctuation trend in recent ten years, and has great potential for development. The development potential of tourism industry is affected by economic conditions, contingencies and policies And other factors.