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新药研发是一项高投入、高风险、长周期的复杂工程,对于新药研发中的风险进行风险应对是十分必要的。本文在深入分析新药研发过程中存在的各种风险的基础上,分别从单一风险情形及考虑2个风险情形的情况下,对新药研发过程中风险应对策略的生成方法进行研究,构建了新药研发风险应对策略选择的优化模型。最后通过一个算例说明本文给出方法的可行性和有效性。
Research and development of new drugs is a highly-invested, high-risk and long-term complex project. It is necessary to deal with the risks of new drug research and development. Based on the in-depth analysis of the various risks existing in the research and development of new drugs, this paper studies the generation of risk coping strategies in the research and development of new drugs from single risk scenarios and two risk scenarios respectively, and builds a new drug development Optimization Model of Risk Coping Strategy Selection. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.