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本文在总结现有主导产业相关理论与选择方法的基础之上,提出了以关联带动性、综合贡献性、延展成长性三基准为基础的应用于主导产业选择的系统性方法,分别使用投入产出分析、因子分析、回归分析等方法评价不同产业的多维特征,并综合3种方法的结果最终统筹考虑确定地区主导产业,具有较强的科学性、系统性与可操作性。应用本文提出的方法,最终确定吐鲁番市应大力发展的主导产业有:化学工业;电力、热力的生产和供应业;电气机械及器材制造业;食品制造及烟草加工业。
Based on the summarization of the existing theories and methods of selection of leading industries, this paper proposes a systematic approach to the selection of leading industries based on the three criteria of association-led, comprehensive contribution, and extension of growth. Input-output Out analysis, factor analysis, regression analysis and other methods to evaluate the multidimensional characteristics of different industries, and take the results of the three methods into consideration to determine the dominant industries in the region at the same time. It is scientific, systematic and operational. Applying the method proposed in this paper, the leading industries that should be vigorously developed in Turpan include: chemical industry; production and supply of electricity and heat; electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing; food manufacturing and tobacco processing.