论文部分内容阅读
受政策调控和外部环境冲击的双重影响,2012年以来,我国经济继续放缓,预计第二季度经济继续探底,增速将比第一季度明显回落。随着各项“稳增长”政策效应的日渐显现,预计第三季度我国经济将企稳回升,GDP增长8.2%左右,CPI继续回落,涨幅预计在2%左右。需要强调的是,经济的短期反弹或许是政策刺激的结果,并不意味着经济已经走上自主增长轨道。未来一段时间,中国经济或将面临需求不足的常态化特征,经济增速将从前些年的平均两位数转为一位数。不论从促进经济持续增长,还是提高经济增长的质量角度出发,加快经济
Affected by the policy control and the impact of the external environment, the economy of our country has been slowing down since 2012 and the economy is expected to continue to dip in the second quarter of this year. The growth rate will be significantly lower than the first quarter. With the gradual appearance of the “stable growth” policy effect, it is estimated that in the third quarter, the economy of our country will stabilize and rise, with an increase of about 8.2% of GDP. The CPI will continue to drop, with an increase of about 2%. What needs to be emphasized is that the short-term economic rally may be the result of policy stimulus, which does not mean that the economy has embarked on its own path of growth. For some time to come, China’s economy may face a normalization characterized by a lack of demand. Its economy will turn from a double-digit average of previous years to a single-digit figure. Whether from promoting sustained economic growth or improving the quality of economic growth, we must speed up the economy