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基于半参数模型和非参数模型研究了电力消费系统中各影响因素的线性以及非线性的影响效应,其结论表明:我国经济的快速增长、人口因素和经济结构都是影响我国电力消费的重要因素;电力价格指数对电力消费需求的影响效应并不是很大,不足以抵消上述因素所引致的电力消费的快速增长;而且我国的能源利用效率虽然在不断提高,但仍然还处于一个比较低的水平.
Based on the semi-parametric model and the non-parametric model, the linear and nonlinear effects of various factors in the power consumption system are studied. The results show that the rapid economic growth, population factors and economic structure in our country are both important factors affecting the electricity consumption in China ; The impact of the electricity price index on the electricity consumption demand is not large enough to offset the rapid growth of electricity consumption caused by the above factors; and although the energy efficiency of our country is constantly improving, it is still at a relatively low level .