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根据世界贸易组织(WTO)秘书处最近公布的世界贸易报告概要,由于受世界金融危机和经济衰退的影响,2009年,世界贸易总量经历了70多年来最大的下降,实际降幅达到12.2%,名义降幅则更是高达23%。而2010年世界贸易则有望实际增长9.5%,其中,发达国家的商品出口可能增长7.5%,发展中国家可能增长11%。2009年,中国商品出口尽管也遭遇-16%挫折,但首次取代德国成为世界最大出口国,而进口则独一无二地没有下降,甚至实际上还有小幅增长,中国在世界商品和商业服务的进出口地位均有所上升。不过,世界贸易要真正实现恢复性增长,不仅有赖于世界经济的恢复性增长,还需要借助于WTO多边贸易体制有效抵制贸易保护主义的压力。
According to the World Trade Organization (WTO) recently released World Trade Report summary, due to the global financial crisis and economic recession, the total volume of world trade in 2009 experienced the largest drop in more than 70 years, with a real decline of 12.2% The nominal decline is even as high as 23%. While in 2010 world trade is expected to actually grow by 9.5%, of which, developed countries may increase exports of goods 7.5%, developing countries may increase 11%. In 2009, despite a -16% setback in its exports, China replaced Germany for the first time to become the world’s largest exporter. Imports, however, were uniquely and not even declining, with a slight increase in China’s import and export of goods and services in the world Status has risen. However, to truly resume the growth of world trade depends not only on the restorative growth of the world economy but also on the effective pressure of WTO multilateral trade system to resist trade protectionism.