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一个专家小组上周在世界艾滋病日(即12月1日)的前夕公布了一份预测报告,他们的预测表明,在1988年到1992年这段时期内,英格兰和威尔士地区至少将诊断出10000个新的艾滋病例。尽管有若干重大的不确定因素使他们难于作出非常确定的预测,但该专家小组仍然肯定艾滋病例数在过去呈指数式增长的状况今后几年内不会再继续下去了。不过他们认为:“如果以为预测将发生的艾滋病例数低了一些就可以松一口气,沾沾自喜,那将是大错
A panel of experts last week released a prediction on the eve of World AIDS Day (ie, December 1), and their projections indicate that at least the period between 1988 and 1992 in England and Wales would be 10,000 A new case of AIDS. Despite a number of major uncertainties that make it difficult for them to make very certain projections, the panel of experts still affirmed that the number of AIDS cases that had exponentially increased in the past will not continue in the coming years. However, they argue: "If you think you can breathe a sigh of relief and anticipate a low number of AIDS cases, that will be a big mistake