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2011年,全球经济处于“纠结”之中。首先是欧元区愈演愈烈的“欧债危机”使得全球经济在复苏之路上一波三折。其次,频繁爆发的自然灾害和政治事件也给全球经济蒙上了一层不确定的阴影。在这样的大环境下,我国经济也难以独善其身:年内CPI一路高企,股市表现萎靡不振,房地产市场进退维谷。进入2012年,虽然国内外经济运行趋于平稳,但展望2012年经济形势仍然不容乐观。我们认为,2012年国内外经济形势分别集中到一点就是:全球看欧元,中国看房市。
In 2011, the global economy was in a “tangle”. The first is the intensified “euro zone crisis” in the euro zone, which has caused the global economy to experience a wave of recovery. Second, the frequent natural disasters and political incidents have cast an uncertain shadow over the global economy. In such a big environment, China’s economy is also difficult to excel: the high CPI all the way during the year, the stock market slump, the real estate market downturn. Into 2012, although the domestic and international economic operations tend to be stable, but looking forward to the economic situation in 2012 is still not optimistic. In our opinion, the economic situation at home and abroad in 2012 were mainly concentrated in the following points: The Euro sees the world and the housing market in China.