随着生产实践和科学技术水平的不断提高，人类对客观事物认识的深度和广度不断增加，对各种事物的预测能力也不断提高，预测技术和方法也日趋成熟。１预测方法分类预测方法主要是用于探索人与技术的关系。因而与人的知识、人的创造性思维能力，以及人对价值的判断能力等关系最? With the continuous improvement of production practice and science and technology, the depth and breadth of human understanding of objective things are constantly increasing, the ability to predict various things is also constantly improving, and the forecasting techniques and methods are also becoming more mature. 1 Prediction Method Classification Prediction method is mainly used to explore the relationship between people and technology. Therefore, with people’s knowledge, creative thinking ability, as well as people’s ability to judge the value of the relationship between the most?