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在影响今年价格走势中,最为肯定的是去年物价上涨的滞后影响,据测算,上年物价上涨对今年上半年的滞后影响为100.2％,占全部上涨幅度的46.2％,到7月份,翘尾影响下降到7.9个百分点,后几个月还会进一步减弱,预计翘尾影响全年约为4—5个百分点。其次是税制改革、汇率改革和结构性调价的影响,这两方面因素肯定会给全年物价带来9—10个百分点的影响,决定全年零售物价总指数的关键是自发性涨价究竟达到多少。在年末,各级政府和物价部门要继续贯彻各项宏观调控政策,切实采取有效措
In the impact on this year’s price trend, the most positive is the lagging effect of rising prices last year. According to calculations, the lagging effect of price increase last year for the first half of this year was 100.2%, accounting for 46.2% of the overall increase, and by July, the tail The impact has dropped to 7.9 percentage points, and will be further weakened in the coming months. It is expected that the tail-tailing effect will be about 4-5 percentage points for the whole year. The second is the impact of tax reform, exchange rate reform, and structural price adjustment. These two factors will surely bring 9-10 percent of annual price impact, and the key to determine the annual overall retail price index is whether spontaneous price increases will be achieved. How many. At the end of the year, governments at all levels and price departments must continue to implement various macro-control policies and take effective measures.