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以广州为研究对象,采用产业转型系数、主成分分析和偏离—份额方法,对1995年以来的产业转型进行分析。研究发现广州工业转型的快速时期在1999年前后,服务业随后。1995年以来广州工业内部增长速度呈现差异,竞争优势行业发生变化,但主导产业仍未发生更替。服务业内部增长也呈现较大差异,正逐步向高端化转型,生产性服务业的地位大幅度提升。广州产业转型目前还处于初始阶段,无论是工业还是服务业,其转型还需经历较长的时期,在这个过程中,传统产业对经济发展仍起重要作用。最后,提出了大力发展战略新兴产业、积极发展现代服务业、改造提升传统产业等产业转型的建议。
Taking Guangzhou as the research object, this paper analyzes the industrial transformation since 1995 by adopting the industrial transformation coefficient, principal component analysis and deviation - share method. The study found that the rapid industrial transformation in Guangzhou around 1999, the service industry subsequently. Since 1995, the growth rate of Guangzhou’s internal industry shows a difference, and the competitive industries have changed. However, the leading industries have not changed yet. The internal growth of the service industry also shows great differences. It is gradually transforming into a high-end economy and the status of the producer service industry has been greatly improved. The industrial transformation in Guangzhou is still in its infancy. Whether it be industrial or service industries, its transformation needs to go through a long period of time. In this process, traditional industries still play an important role in economic development. Finally, some suggestions are put forward, such as vigorously developing strategic emerging industries, actively developing modern service industries, and transforming and upgrading traditional industries.