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养老保险基金的支付风险呈逐年上升趋势,采用科学方法加强对养老保险基金支付风险的预测,不断提高应对风险的能力,对基金管理的安全性和基金使用的合理性至关重要。本文以长春市养老保险基金为例,通过建立基金收支模型,预测“十二五”至“十三五”期间长春市养老保险基金将会出现支付风险,分析了形成养老保险基金支付风险的各种原因,提出了全面化解养老基金支付风险的对策和建议。
The payment risk of pension funds has been increasing year by year. To strengthen the prediction of the payment risk of pension funds by scientific methods and continuously improve the ability to deal with risks are very important for the safety of fund management and the rationality of using funds. This paper takes Changchun Pension Fund as an example, through the establishment of a fund revenue and expenditure model, forecasts that the pension risk of Changchun City will be paid during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” to “Thirteen Five-Year Plan” period, Fund for various reasons to pay for the risk, put forward a comprehensive solution to the pension fund payment risks countermeasures and suggestions.