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关于本轮产能过剩的特征、性质、根源与治理方案等,本文研究认为:(1)工业领域的产能过剩已经由局部向整体恶化。(2)产能过剩主要是由于国内外需求急剧萎缩引致的,不能完全归因于体制性缺陷。(3)政府与市场关系失衡未能有效防范,甚至加剧了部分行业的产能过剩。(4)从“补短板”的角度看,相当一部分过剩产能可以转化为“有效产能”。(5)治理产能过剩应从供需两侧同时发力,一方面增加有效供给,适应和引领需求结构转型;另一方面扩大有效需求,支撑和带动供给能力提升。
On the current round of overcapacity characteristics, nature, roots and governance programs, this paper studies: (1) industrial overcapacity has been partially deteriorated to the overall. (2) Overcapacity was mainly due to the sharp contraction of domestic and international demand, which can not be completely attributed to institutional defects. (3) The imbalance between the government and the market failed to effectively prevent or even exacerbate overcapacity in some industries. (4) From the perspective of “supplementing shortcomings,” a considerable part of excess capacity can be converted into “effective capacity”. (5) Overcapacity should be managed at the same time from both sides of supply and demand. On the one hand, effective supply should be increased to adapt to and lead the structural transformation of demand. On the other hand, effective demand should be expanded to support and boost the supply capacity.