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近几年来海上溢油事故频发,不但会给石油企业和整个社会带来巨大的经济损失,并且沿海城市,尤其是旅游型城市往往会受到牵连。文章主要就溢油事故对沿海旅游型城市造成的旅游业影响进行研究并计量,研究发现旅游业损失的主要影响因素为事故性质、事故规模、事故时间、事故地点、媒体关注度、政府及相关部门的应对等,并以大连市“7.16”溢油事故为例,采用本底趋势线法计量其2010年国内旅游人数和旅游收入的损失,发现两者都有明显的减少,证实了溢油事故给大连旅游业带来的较大的影响,并结合实际从影响因素的角度去分析影响结果。
In recent years, the frequent occurrence of oil spills at sea will not only bring huge economic losses to oil enterprises and society as a whole, but also will be implicated in coastal cities, especially in tourist-oriented cities. This paper mainly studies and measures the impact of oil spill on the tourism industry in coastal tourist cities. The main factors affecting the tourism industry are the nature of accident, accident scale, accident time, accident location, media attention, government and related Departmental response and so on. Taking the “7.16 ” oil spill accident in Dalian as an example, we measured the loss of domestic tourists and tourism revenue by using the trend line method in the end of this year and found that both of them have obviously decreased, confirming The impact of oil spill on tourism in Dalian has a greater impact, and combined with the actual situation from the perspective of influencing factors to analyze the impact of the results.