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1994年分税制改革以后,中央政府通过下放事权使得地方政府支出增加。而随着经济社会的发展和户籍制度改革的深入,我国流动人口的规模不断扩大,特别是省际流动人口的总量接近1亿。本文研究省际人口流动对省级地方政府三类财政支出的影响,研究结果表明,人口流动仅对消费型支出具有显著性影响,生产型和维持型支出无显著性影响。基于此,省级地方政府为了适应人口流入应该提高消费型支出的比重。
After the tax-sharing reform in 1994, the central government increased the spending by local governments through decentralization. With the economic and social development and the deepening of the reform of the household registration system, the size of China’s floating population has been constantly expanding. In particular, the total number of inter-provincial floating population approaches 100 million. This paper studies the effect of inter-provincial population flow on the three types of provincial government fiscal expenditure. The results show that the population flow only has a significant impact on consumer spending, and production and maintenance expenditure have no significant effect. Based on this, provincial government should increase the proportion of consumer spending in order to adapt to population inflow.