2010年世界经济将面临就业不振、消费疲软、债务负担加重等一系列问题,主要经济体在第四季度前不太可能实施紧缩货币政策,原油和国际大宗商品价格会继续高位振荡。我国贸易顺差规模将有所下降,货币政策调整空间受到限制,通胀压力会显著加大。因此,要妥善应对贸易摩擦,坚持现有人民币汇率形成机制,集中力量管理好 In 2010, the world economy will face a series of problems such as underemployment, weak consumption and increasing debt burden. It is unlikely that major economies will implement tightened monetary policy before the fourth quarter and the prices of crude oil and international commodities will continue to fluctuate at high levels. The scale of China’s trade surplus will decline, the space for adjustment of monetary policy will be limited, and the inflationary pressure will be significantly increased. Therefore, it is necessary to properly handle trade frictions, adhere to the existing RMB exchange rate formation mechanism and concentrate on the management of the situation