对南昌铁路局货物周转量进行了定性和定量的预测分析 ,分析结果表明 :南昌铁路局货物周转量将呈上升趋势 .但是 ,在对原始数据进行分析时 ,发现南昌局货运管内周转量有所下降 ,表明铁路竞争力不强 ,还存在许多与市场不适应的问题 .针对这些问题文中提出了相应的解决办法 The qualitative and quantitative forecast of the cargo turnover of Nanchang Railway Administration shows that the cargo turnover of Nanchang Railway Administration will increase.However, when analyzing the raw data, it is found that the internal turnover of Nanchang Railway Bureau Decline, indicating that the competitiveness of the railway is not strong, there are still many problems not suited to the market. In response to these problems proposed in the article the corresponding solution