一、2017年我国农药新一轮景气周期或将启动根据Phillips Mcdougall统计数据,2000年以来全球农药行业可归纳为遵循大体约5年一轮的景气周期(约2~3年景气向下,其中2年景气向上)。预计2020年将迎来这轮周期的顶峰,全球农药市场规模可达600亿美元以上。二、2016全球农药重点市场多跌少涨Phillips McDouggal指出,从全球角度来看,2016年,北美的农作物丰收会导致农户对未来农产品价格保持悲观态 I. The new cycle of China’s pesticide cycle in 2017 may start according to Phillips Mcdougall statistics. Since 2000, the global pesticide industry can be summarized as following a roughly five-year cycle cycle (about 2 to 3 years down, 2 years upturn). It is expected that the peak of this cycle will usher in 2020, and the global pesticide market can reach more than US$60 billion. Second, 2016 Global Pesticide Key Markets plunged or swelled Phillips McDouggal pointed out that from a global perspective, crop harvests in North America in 2016 will lead farmers to remain pessimistic about future agricultural product prices.