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主要从武器级核材料生产、核试验水平、武器化工程和运载系统等方面分析了印度和巴基斯坦的核武器系统的水平和能力。印度已具备设计和制造从小当量的战术核武器到大当量核武器的能力,也具备了设计和制造氢弹的科技能力;印度武器级裂变材料主要是钚,现在储量足以制造70～100枚核武器,也能生产少量的氚;印度已具备飞机运载和投掷核武器的能力,但目前尚未将核弹头装备到弹道导弹上,虽然已研制和正在研制的导弹具有运载核武器的能力。巴基斯坦也具有设计和制造战术核武器和战略核武器的能力;武器级铀储量足以制造20～30枚核武器,除了浓缩铀外,巴基斯坦也具有生产氚的设施;巴基斯坦采用飞机运载核武器估计不成问题,但要用导弹运载核武器,特别是大当量核武器,需要较印度更长时间。总体上讲,印度的核力量以及其发展规模较巴基斯坦大得多,已远超出对付巴基斯坦的范畴。
Analyzed the level and capabilities of nuclear weapons systems in India and Pakistan from the perspective of weapons-grade nuclear material production, nuclear testing levels, weapons engineering and delivery systems. India has the capability to design and manufacture small quantities of tactical nuclear weapons to large equivalent nuclear weapons, as well as scientific and technological capabilities in the design and manufacture of hydrogen bombs. India’s weapons-grade fissile material is mainly plutonium, and now reserves are sufficient to manufacture 70-100 nuclear weapons. India, which already has the capability to carry and throw nuclear weapons on aircraft, has not yet equipped it with nuclear-capable missiles, although missiles already under development and under development have the capacity to carry nuclear weapons. Pakistan also has the capability to design and manufacture tactical and strategic nuclear weapons; weapons-grade uranium reserves are sufficient to produce 20-30 nuclear weapons; Pakistan has tritium-producing facilities in addition to uranium enrichment; Pakistan’s use of aircraft to carry nuclear weapons is estimated to be unproblematic but The use of missiles to carry nuclear weapons, especially large quantities of nuclear weapons, will take longer than in India. On the whole, India’s nuclear forces and its scale of development are much larger than that of Pakistan, far beyond the scope of Pakistan.