基于偏离-份额分析法的攀枝花市产业结构分析

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文章运用偏离-份额分析法,对攀枝花市近10年(2003—2012年),产业增长及结构变化进行分析,并以四川省的同期产业结构值为参照。结果表明:攀枝花市在近10年间,第一产业的产业增长份额和结构转移份额最小,对经济的贡献作用最小;第二产业产业结构增长明显,有较强的产业结构优势,对经济的贡献作用大,但其竞争力相对于四川省平均水平较弱;第三产业区域竞争力相对于四川省平均水平较强,有较大的发展潜力。根据分析结果,对未来攀枝花市产业结构与经济发展应采取以下措施:1)第一产业应突出特色农业的发展;2)稳定发展第二产业,提高区域竞争力;3)打造特色旅游,加快发展第三产业。 This article analyzes the industrial growth and structural change of Panzhihua City in the recent 10 years (2003-2012) by using the deviation-share analysis method and takes the value of the industrial structure in Sichuan as a reference. The results show that in the past 10 years, the first industry in Panzhihua City has the smallest share of industrial growth and the share of structural transformation, and the smallest contribution to the economy. The industrial structure of the second industry has obvious growth with strong industrial structure and contribution to the economy But its competitiveness is weaker than the average level of Sichuan Province. The tertiary industry’s regional competitiveness is higher than the average level of Sichuan Province and has great potential for development. According to the analysis results, the following measures should be taken for the industrial structure and economic development of Panzhihua in the future: 1) The primary industry should highlight the development of characteristic agriculture; 2) Stabilize the development of secondary industry and enhance the regional competitiveness; 3) Development of tertiary industry
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