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本文基于2001—2011年省际面板数据,利用面板广义最小二乘法实证检验农产品出口促进农业生产率增长的约束条件。结果发现,农产品出口对中国农业生产率增长的促进作用并不显著;通过农产品出口谋求动态效应的最终效果受到相关因素的影响,人力资本、二元结构状况、金融发展、基础设施等因素都是重要的约束条件,并且不同约束条件的影响渠道存在差异。研究表明,在培育更具竞争力的农产品出口主体的同时,也需要在宏观经济领域配套相关改革,以充分利用农产品出口的动态效应促进农业生产率增长。
Based on the provincial panel data from 2001 to 2011, this paper uses the panel generalized least squares method to test the constraints of agricultural products export growth to promote the growth of agricultural productivity. The results showed that the export promotion of agricultural products did not have a significant effect on the growth of agricultural productivity in China. The ultimate effect of seeking dynamic effects through the export of agricultural products was influenced by relevant factors. Factors such as human capital, dual structural conditions, financial development and infrastructure were all important Of the constraints, and different constraints affect the channels there are differences. Research shows that while cultivating the more competitive exporters of agricultural products, we also need to implement relevant reforms in the macroeconomic fields in order to make full use of the dynamic effects of the export of agricultural products to promote the growth of agricultural productivity.