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选取资源枯竭型城市耒阳市为研究对象,采用偏离—份额分析法对耒阳市经济发展状况进行了实证研究,对其产业结构和主导产业做出科学评价。运用DEA方法对其产业的投入产出效率进行计算,分析得出耒阳市产业结构的变化规律。结果表明,2005—2015年耒阳市经济总量持续增加,产业结构也逐年调整,但总体上仍然处于第二产业拉动经济的状况。第一产业发展较慢,大部分村域的生产方式仍以粗放式为主;第二产业现为逐渐衰退的部门;第三产业具有较好的发展前景,但对耒阳市整体经济的拉动力不足。在技术水平提高的同时,规模效率普遍较低。着力调整优化耒阳市整体产业结构的任务仍十分艰巨,在中国经济新常态下把握新的发展机遇十分关键。
This paper chooses Xingyang City, a resource - exhausted city, as the research object, uses the deviation - share analysis method to make an empirical study on the economic development of Xingyang and makes a scientific assessment of its industrial structure and leading industries. Using DEA method to calculate the input-output efficiency of its industry, we can get the law of the change of industrial structure in Xingyang. The results show that from 2005 to 2015, the total economic volume of Shenyang City continued to increase, and the industrial structure was also adjusted year by year. However, the overall situation of secondary economy is still driven by the economy. The development of the primary industry is relatively slow, and the production methods of most of the village farms are still dominated by the extensive ones. The secondary industry is now a declining sector. The tertiary industry has good development prospects. However, Lack of motivation. While improving the technical level, the scale efficiency is generally low. The task of making efforts to adjust and optimize the overall industrial structure of Shenyang City remains arduous. It is crucial to seize new opportunities for development in the new normalcy of the Chinese economy.