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当前,世界经济发展可谓“冰火两重天”:发达国家经济复苏前景莫测,新兴市场国家经济发展面临过热;欧美日等发达经济体试图采取更宽松的货币政策,而新兴市场国家已启动加息进程,货币政策趋向从紧。IMF对世界房地产市场的预测颇显悲观,认为以中国为代表的发展中国家的房地产市场泡沫严重。发达国家出于恢复贸易收支平衡的动机要求人民币升值,国际贸易中的磨擦加剧,外贸企业经营风险上升。
At present, the development of the world economy can be described as a “twilight”: the unpredictable prospects for economic recovery in developed countries, overheating in the economic development of emerging market countries, the developed economies in Europe, the United States, Japan and Japan are trying to adopt a more accommodative monetary policy while emerging market countries have Start raising interest rates, monetary policy tends to tight. IMF forecasts of the world real estate market was rather pessimistic that the developing countries represented by China’s real estate market bubble is serious. In developed countries, the motivation behind the restoration of trade balance requires the appreciation of the renminbi, increased friction in international trade and increased risks in foreign trade enterprises.