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作为生态文明建设的重要部分,森林建设日益成为公共管理事务中关注的焦点。本文利用我国第二至第七次森林清查省际面板数据,建立动态面板模型,使用系统广义矩估计方法,对改革开放以来我国森林资源变动与经济发展关系进行检验。此外还使用1978—2008年的全国森林资源数据对面板分析所得趋势进行了验证。实证结果显示:①基于改革开放以来的森林清查省际面板数据,中国的森林资源变化与经济发展水平间的关系保持共同增长的趋势,全国森林变动与人均GDP的数据也进一步验证了面板计量结果所反映的趋势;②基于目前结果无法判断近30多年来中国森林资源变动与经济发展间存在环境库兹涅茨曲线所描述的U形关系。
As an important part of the construction of ecological civilization, forest construction has increasingly become the focus of attention in public administration. In this paper, we use the panel data of the second to the seventh provincial forest inventory to establish a dynamic panel model and use the method of generalized moment estimation to test the relationship between forest resources change and economic development in our country since the reform and opening up. In addition, the trend of panel analysis was verified using the national forest resource data from 1978-2008. The empirical results show that: (1) Based on the inter-provincial panel data of forest inventory since the reform and opening up, the relationship between forest resource change and economic development level in China keeps the trend of common growth. The data of forest change and GDP per capita further validate the panel measurement results Based on the current results can not determine the past 30 years, China’s forest resources changes and economic development between the existence of environmental Kuznets curve described by the U-shaped relationship.