第一天,猎人在打猎前立誓:今天只打兔子。但他遇到的全是山鸡,空手而归。第二天,他发誓只打山鸡。可这天遇到的全是狐狸,又空手而归。第三天,他发誓只打狐狸。结果他只遇到了野猪,依旧无功而返。【启封】这个猎人最大的毛病,是不知道如何处理变化的信息与决策的关系。天津作家陈冲有一篇小说,叫《无反馈快速跟踪》,讲的便是信息反馈与决策的故事。一般来讲,第一次决策通常都取决于已知信息,决策在执行过程中会遇到新情况,把新情况反馈到后方, The first day, the hunter vowed before the hunt: Today, only rabbits. But he encountered all pheasants, empty-handed. The next day, he vowed to play only pheasant. May encounter all day is a fox, but also empty-handed. The third day, he vowed to play only foxes. As a result, he only encountered wild boar, still without success. 【Unsealed】 The biggest problem with this hunter is that it does not know how to handle the changing relationship between information and decision-making. Chen Chong, a writer in Tianjin, has a novel called “Fast Track Without Feedback,” which tells the story of information feedback and decision-making. In general, the first decision usually depends on the known information, decision-making in the implementation process will encounter new situations, the new situation back to the rear,