机构上的重大变革,使原有计划经济体制下的客运模式再也无法适应铁路发展对客运工作提出的新要求。本文探讨了数学模型在客运工作中的使用问题,阐明了造成目前客运市场人满为患的根源在于对客流量增长的情况缺少预测。 The major changes on the part of the institutions have made it impossible for the passenger transport modes under the original planned economic system to adapt to the new demands put forward by the railway development on passenger transport. This article explores the use of mathematical models in passenger transport and explains the root cause of the overcrowding in the current passenger market is the lack of prediction of passenger traffic growth.