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依据山地冰川规模对于气候变化平衡态响应的一种统计模型，探讨了天山乌鲁木齐河源1号冰川东、西支在不同气候情景下的平衡态规模大小，根据该冰川的历史变化并应用这一统计模型，对于乌鲁木齐河源地区气候变化的趋势进行了研究。
Based on a statistical model of the response of the mountain glaciers to the balanced climate change, the equilibrium size of the east and west branches of the East Glacier No. 1 in the Tianshan Mountains in the Tianshan Mountains is discussed. Based on the historical changes of the glaciers and applying this statistic Model, the trend of climate change in the Heyuan area of Urumqi has been studied.