过去五年,世界经济危机不断,发达国家成为最大负面因素,乃是不争的事实。从未来一段时间看,发达国家呈现出至少五种颇为明显的走向。这些走向,有些是发达国家不得已而为之,但有些则难免有“输出危机”的嫌疑,值得各国尤其是中国等出口大国高度关注。五种走向可归纳为:第一,过去积极推动经济全球化,现在则是努力“去全球化”;第二,过去主动促进产业转移, In the past five years, it is an indisputable fact that the world economic crisis has continued and that the developed countries have become the biggest negative factor. From a time to come, at least five developed countries have shown quite a clear trend. Some of these trends are the last resort of the developed countries, but some of them are inevitably suspected of “export crisis” and deserve the great attention of all exporting countries, especially China. Five trends can be summarized as follows: First, in the past, we actively promoted economic globalization, and now we are trying to “go global.” Secondly, in the past, we took the initiative to promote industrial transfer,