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地区政治不稳、国际石油消费需求稳增、中国经济向好等因素增大了下半年国际油价上涨的动力。由中美在内的世界经济好转带来的需求增长与地缘政治因素引发供应危机对国际市场秩序的干扰有增无减,对国际油价的支撑力量要明显大于所谓美国石油产量提高及利比亚出口恢复等对国际油价的打压因素。此外,中国经济在下半年也将进一步好转,欧元区也缓慢走出衰退。
Political instability in the region, a steady increase in international oil consumption demand and the improvement of China’s economy have boosted the momentum for rising international oil prices in the second half of the year. The increase in demand caused by the improvement of the world economy, including Sino-U.S. And geopolitical factors, have led to a disruption in the international market order caused by the supply crisis. The support for international oil prices is obviously greater than the so-called increase in U.S. oil output and Libya’s export recovery Such as the pressure on international oil prices. In addition, China’s economy will also be further improved in the second half, the euro zone is also slowly out of recession.