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当前我国煤炭供需形势严峻,产能过剩十分严重。行业数据显示,煤炭产能总规模已接近60亿吨。若按预测的2020年我国煤炭消费40亿吨计算,除去2亿吨进口,实际国内煤炭生产只有38亿吨左右的市场容量。也就是说,近20多亿吨的产能要在“十三五”期间逐步退出。此次煤炭去产能,目的绝非一般意义上的总量控制,而是通过去掉落后淘汰,结构调整,重建煤炭行业的新生态。把握好此次去产能给煤炭行业产能优化带来的历史机遇,应重点做好三方面。
At present, the situation of coal supply and demand in our country is grim, and the overcapacity is very serious. Industry data show that the total capacity of coal production has reached nearly 6 billion tons. According to the forecast of 4 billion tons of coal consumption in China in 2020, excluding 200 million tons of imports, the actual domestic coal production will only have a market capacity of about 3.8 billion tons. In other words, nearly 2 billion tons of production capacity in the “13th Five-Year” period of gradual withdrawal. The coal to production capacity, the purpose is not the general sense of the total amount of control, but by eliminating the backward elimination, structural adjustment, reconstruction of the new ecology of the coal industry. Grasping the historic opportunity brought by the capacity-to-capacity optimization for the coal industry, we should focus on three aspects.