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1)中国建筑业进入个位数增长,甚至实际负增长随着宏观经济进入新常态,房地产业急转直下,中国建筑业除基础设施领域外,将面临全面下调。2014年全面增速为10.2%,真实情况一定已是个位数。政府为了调结构,不会通过直投形式大量投资工程项目,2015进入个位数增长已属必然,事实上大量领域(房地产开发、商业、工业等)负增长也无可避免,整个建筑业进入实质负增长也有可能。所有建筑企业都增长的时代正式过去,建筑业分化开始。
1) China’s construction industry enters single-digit growth or even real negative growth As the macro-economy enters a new normal and the real estate industry is going downhill, China’s construction industry will face an overall downward adjustment in addition to the infrastructure. The overall growth rate in 2014 was 10.2%. The actual situation must have been in single digits. In order to adjust the structure, the government will not invest heavily in projects through direct investment. In 2015, it is inevitable that the single-digit growth should be inevitable. In fact, the negative growth in a large number of fields (real estate development, commerce and industry, etc.) is inevitable. The entire construction industry has entered a real Negative growth is also possible. The era of growth for all construction companies is officially over and the construction industry is beginning to diverge.