Assessment of the macro-economic impacts of low-carbon road transportation policies in Chongqing,Chi

来源 :气候变化研究进展(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:mqzhen1987
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Reductions in the transportation sector's carbon dioxide emissions are increasingly of global concern.As one of the first low-carbon pilot and carbon trading pilot cities,and as one of the largest automobile production bases in China,Chongqing has multiple low-carbon transportation policies that are coupled.In this study,three policy scenarios are set,including:1)improving the fuel economy of newly sold gasoline passenger cars to 5.7 1 per 100 km by 2020,2)promoting pure electric private cars to increase the share to 7%of private car sales by 2020,and 3)the policy mix scenario of the above two policies.Simulations are undertaken with the Chinese Academy of Sciences general equilibrium(CAS-GE)model,a type of computable GE model,to assess the macro-economic impact and the industrial impact of the three policy scenarios.Through the policy impact mechanism analysis and data-mapping process,the micro-economic impact analysis results,including costs and fuel savings,for the two policies from the bottom-up model are taken as the shock variables and inputs for the CAS-GE model.The results show that:1)the two policies will both have a slightly negative impact(-0.09%and-0.30%)on Chongqing's GDP in 2020;2)the employment rate will decrease by 0.12%and 0.47%,but the inflation rate will be restrained to a certain extent(-0.21%and-0.17%);and 3)the complementarity of the mixed policy can weaken the negative impact of the two policies when implemented separately.The mixed policy will reduce the GDP slightly by 0.37%,compared with the cumulative effect of the two policies implemented separately,resulting in cost-effective synergies at the macro-economic impact level;and 4)the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has an uncertain impact on the results.The method and results can provide a reference for the formulation and adjustment of low-carbon transportation policies in other large cities.
其他文献
当今社会是一个信息爆炸的时代。人们要想紧跟时代的步伐,就必须每天不断地学习,而阅读则是学习的一个重要途径。因此,学生阅读能力的培养至关重要,英语阅读能力亦是如此。实
换挡过程的动力中断和冲击是制约多挡位变速器系统在纯电动汽车中大规模应用的主要原因.该文以无同步器的电机-变速器直连系统为研究对象,运用多体动力学原理建立能够准确描
薄膜式全热交换器是一种可同时回收热量和湿份的空气-空气热回收装置,其换热芯由具有良好透湿性的膜材料制成,通常用来减少建筑能耗并改善室内空气品质.由于全热交换器内部通
Recently, a hot topic about warmer and wetter climate change in the arid region of Northwest China, especially in Xinjiang, has attracted much attention by gene
该文探讨经颅直流电刺激(transcranial directcurrent stimulation,tDCS)是否能提升注意力广度,并通过脑电(electroencephalogram,EEG)分析探讨其中的机理.实验招募7名健康被
1944年春,杨武的父亲在重庆市九龙坡区杨家坪鹤兴路一带修建了2层木制小楼;1993年春,杨武、吴苹夫妇在其祖屋原址上拆除重建,建起了2层砖混小楼:2004年9月5日,房地产开发商
针对含坡度隧道火灾烟囱效应和阻塞效应对烟气扩散影响机理欠明确等问题,该文以国内某城市轨道交通线路为研究对象,开展了车辆阻塞下的全尺寸火灾实验研究.通过改变通风方式
Climate change and its impact on population health have been well explored in China in recent years, especially health risk assessments such as studying its imp
青藏高原地区由于地质构造运动活跃、高原气候独特,导致河网水系具有一定的空间差异性与发育程度多样的特点.该文以洮河、雅砻江和拉萨河3个典型流域为代表,对青藏高原的河网
本刊讯为记录“新农村”建设的伟大历程,展示农民眼中的农业发展、农村建设和农民生活,进一步推动基层摄影文化的普及和发展,中国摄影家协会与农业部农村社会事业发展中心联