面对全球石油价格的不断攀升,2005年世界经济增长速度尽管比2004年有所放慢,但继续维持较为强劲的势头,预计可达到4.3%左右。这表明,一方面此轮油价上涨对经济增长的负面影响较小,另一方面周期性因素发挥着决定性的作用,即经济仍处在上升周期之中。与此同时,上年度已经影响全球 In the face of rising global oil prices, the world economic growth rate in 2005, though slower than that in 2004, maintained its relatively strong momentum with an estimated 4.3% growth rate. This shows that on the one hand, this round of oil price increases has less negative impact on economic growth. On the other hand, cyclical factors play a decisive role in that the economy is still in a rising cycle. In the meantime, the previous year has affected the world