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盆地模拟技术已有近20年发展历史,已进入实际应用阶段,技术难点是排烃史和运聚史模拟。国外近10年以二维模型为主,正在研究全自动模拟过程中增添人工干预界面,使石油地质家能便捷地修改参数、修正模拟结果,并与常规分析紧密结合,力图提高模拟精度。国内盆地模拟技术吸收国外先进方法,多有创新,在碎屑岩系拉张型盆地应用的地质效果较好,已建立综合评价的操作平台,但薄弱环节和发展重点也是排烃史和运聚史模拟。在软件性能方面,国内与国外的软件相比,地质模型稍强,数值方法销差,软件水平相当,商品化程度不够。关于我国盆地模拟技术发展;提出:加强地质机理及数值方法研究,发展“人工干预界面”技术,重视实际应用,引入竞争机制,避免低水平重复。
Basin simulation technology has been nearly 20 years of development history, has entered the practical application stage, the technical difficulties are hydrocarbon expulsion history and transport aggregation history simulation. In the past 10 years, the two-dimensional model is the most important one in our country. The manual intervention interface is being researched in the process of fully automatic simulation, which makes it easy for petroleum geologists to modify the parameters, correct the simulation results and closely combine with the conventional analysis in an attempt to improve the simulation accuracy. Domestic basin simulation technology to absorb advanced foreign methods, more innovative, in the clastic rocks pull Zhang basin geological application is better, has established a comprehensive evaluation of the operating platform, but the weak links and development are also the history of hydrocarbon expulsion and transport aggregation History simulation. In terms of software performance, compared with domestic and foreign software, the geologic model is slightly stronger, the numerical method is worsened, the software level is rather inferior, and the degree of commercialization is not enough. On the development of basin simulation technology in China, it is proposed to strengthen the study on geological mechanism and numerical methods, develop “artificial intervention interface” technology, pay attention to practical application, introduce competition mechanism and avoid low-level repetition.